diff --git a/mba/ch45.org b/mba/ch45.org index 30a1019..4778505 100644 --- a/mba/ch45.org +++ b/mba/ch45.org @@ -6,3 +6,63 @@ - [[https://www.udemy.com/course/an-entire-mba-in-1-courseaward-winning-business-school-prof/learn/lecture/4283486#overview][S08:L45 Risk & Return, Business Statistics, Security Law]] * Notes + +** debt +- senior debt: debt secured via access to assets upon default + - they have the first claim on company if you go belly up +- subordinate debt: less rights + +** risk and return +*** expected return + +** equity return +- profit or loss generated on an investment in equity (owneship interest in a company) over a specific period +- expressed as a percentage of the original investment amount + +*** components of equity return +- capital gains: increase in stock price +- dividends: payments made to shareholders + - cash + - additional shares + +*** formula for equity return +\[ +\text{Equity Return} = \frac{(\text{Ending Price} - \text{Initial Price}) + \text{Dividends}}{\text{Initial Price}} \times 100 +\] + +*** formula for public equity return +\[ +\text{Equity Return} = \text{Risk Free Rate} + \text{Volatility} x \text{Outperformance} +\] + +- returns from publicly traded stocks + +**** Risk Free Rate includes inflation + - This is the return on an investment with zero risk, typically represented by government bonds like U.S. Treasury bills. + - It accounts for inflation and is considered the baseline rate of return. + - Example: If the current inflation rate is 2% and Treasury bonds yield 3%, then the Risk-Free Rate is 3%. + +**** Volatility: The volatility of the company versus the market + - measures how much the stock price fluctuates relative to the overall market. + - It's often represented by beta (β) in the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), where β > 1 means the stock is more volatile than the market. + - For example, a volatility of 1.2 indicates the stock is 20% more volatile than the market. + +**** Outperformance: how much we expect stocks to outperform government bonds + - This is the expected premium that equity holders expect stocks to generate over government bonds. + - It reflects the idea that since stocks are riskier than government bonds, investors expect higher returns. + - This value could be determined from historical stock market returns minus bond returns. For example, if stocks historically outperform bonds by 4%, the Outperformance might be set to 4%. + +** cost of capital if we use equity and debt +*** WACC: Weighted Average Cost Of Capital + +** securities law and ventures financing +- serious jail sentences +- ignorance is no excuse + +*** basic laws +- potential investors must receive all relevant information before investing + - all risks + - this is called an S1 +- if you have been defrauded you should receive compensation + - class action lawsuits +- insider information for publicly traded stocks is illegal and results in prison (no excuses)