From 27a415fef213b3628851db5c48095f8bc7ca7ad1 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: ronny abraham Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2025 09:10:52 +0300 Subject: [PATCH] finished ch65, added stub for ch66 --- mba-main.org | 1 + mba/ch65.org | 39 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++- mba/ch66.org | 9 +++++++++ 3 files changed, 48 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-) create mode 100644 mba/ch66.org diff --git a/mba-main.org b/mba-main.org index bb0dbc2..dd497de 100755 --- a/mba-main.org +++ b/mba-main.org @@ -70,3 +70,4 @@ ** seciton 12 - Initial Public Offering (IPO) - [[./mba/ch64.org][Chapter 64. How an IPO works]] - [[./mba/ch65.org][Chapter 65. How DCF (Discount Cash Flow) analysis works]] +- [[./mba/ch66.org][Chapter 66. Valuing a Company vs Competition]] diff --git a/mba/ch65.org b/mba/ch65.org index 4cdc9be..8ab0268 100644 --- a/mba/ch65.org +++ b/mba/ch65.org @@ -11,10 +11,47 @@ ** take the average of three valuations - price / earnings - price / sales -- [[#dcf][Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)]] +- DCF +** [[#dcf][Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)]] - because cash flow is similar to net income for tech stocks it makes things easier [[#cashflow-diff][link 1]] [[#cashflow-diff-real][link 2]] - DCF is the value of all future cash flows discounted today +*** how we do it +- assume we are going public in 2020 +- need to look at cash flow for 2020-2025 +- calculate WACC (cost of capital) +- calculate beta from the internet + - three companies similar to ours + - average it out + +*** formulas +**** weighted average cost of capital + - \( \text{WACC} = \text{Cost of Equity} + \text{Cost of Debt} \) + + - we subtract debt b/c it's a hi tech company + +**** Cost of Equity Formula + +\( \text{Cost of Equity} = r_f + (r_m - r_f) \cdot \beta \) + +Where: +- \( r_f \) = Risk-free rate (government rate) + - theoretical rate of return on an investment with zero risk + - how much an investior would expect on a completely safe investment over a given time period + - usually based on yield of government bonds +- \( r_m \) = Stock market return + - expected or historical average annual return of a broad stock market index + - S&P 500 + - TA-125 + - MSCI World Index + - annual return (%) expected from the overall stock market +- \( \beta \) = Volatility (beta) of the company + - finanicial websites that list ϐ (beta) + - yahoo finance -> search for a stock -> under statistics -> see Beta + - google finance, morningstar, marketwatch + + - beta measures how much a stock moves relative to the market + - you can calculate it * definitions ** Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) diff --git a/mba/ch66.org b/mba/ch66.org new file mode 100644 index 0000000..ef073a4 --- /dev/null +++ b/mba/ch66.org @@ -0,0 +1,9 @@ +#+title: Section 11 | Lesson 66 - valuing a company vs competition +#+HTML_HEAD: +#+OPTIONS: H:6 + +* Links +- [[./../mba-main.org][TOC | Business]] +- [[https://www.udemy.com/course/an-entire-mba-in-1-courseaward-winning-business-school-prof/learn/lecture/4301156#overview][S12:L66 course video]] + +* notes