finished ch65, added stub for ch66
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** seciton 12 - Initial Public Offering (IPO)
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- [[./mba/ch64.org][Chapter 64. How an IPO works]]
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- [[./mba/ch65.org][Chapter 65. How DCF (Discount Cash Flow) analysis works]]
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- [[./mba/ch66.org][Chapter 66. Valuing a Company vs Competition]]
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** take the average of three valuations
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- price / earnings
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- price / sales
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- [[#dcf][Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)]]
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- DCF
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** [[#dcf][Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)]]
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- because cash flow is similar to net income for tech stocks it makes things easier [[#cashflow-diff][link 1]] [[#cashflow-diff-real][link 2]]
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- DCF is the value of all future cash flows discounted today
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*** how we do it
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- assume we are going public in 2020
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- need to look at cash flow for 2020-2025
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- calculate WACC (cost of capital)
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- calculate beta from the internet
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- three companies similar to ours
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- average it out
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*** formulas
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**** weighted average cost of capital
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- \( \text{WACC} = \text{Cost of Equity} + \text{Cost of Debt} \)
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- we subtract debt b/c it's a hi tech company
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**** Cost of Equity Formula
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\( \text{Cost of Equity} = r_f + (r_m - r_f) \cdot \beta \)
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Where:
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- \( r_f \) = Risk-free rate (government rate)
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- theoretical rate of return on an investment with zero risk
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- how much an investior would expect on a completely safe investment over a given time period
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- usually based on yield of government bonds
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- \( r_m \) = Stock market return
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- expected or historical average annual return of a broad stock market index
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- S&P 500
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- TA-125
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- MSCI World Index
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- annual return (%) expected from the overall stock market
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- \( \beta \) = Volatility (beta) of the company
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- finanicial websites that list ϐ (beta)
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- yahoo finance -> search for a stock -> under statistics -> see Beta
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- google finance, morningstar, marketwatch
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- beta measures how much a stock moves relative to the market
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- you can calculate it
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* definitions
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** Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
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#+title: Section 11 | Lesson 66 - valuing a company vs competition
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#+HTML_HEAD: <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="../_share/media/css/org-media-sass/categories/business.css" />
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#+OPTIONS: H:6
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* Links
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- [[./../mba-main.org][TOC | Business]]
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- [[https://www.udemy.com/course/an-entire-mba-in-1-courseaward-winning-business-school-prof/learn/lecture/4301156#overview][S12:L66 course video]]
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* notes
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