business-haroun/mba/ch30.org

4 KiB

Section 5 | Lesson 30 - Venture Capital Part 3

Notes

topics within the Venture Capital are relevant

  1. starting a company
  2. new division
  3. raising money
  4. potential investors
  5. creating disruptive ideas

we are in the third round

  • years 3-4
  • after this

    • go public
    • break up the company
    • file for chapter 11
    • sell the company
  • find your passion

    • you better be doing this because you want to
  • VCs want to work with the best management team

example

  • the best management team is the most important
  • P.O.C "proof of concept"
  • P.O.S. "point of sale"

starting point

10,000$ equity 2,000,000 shares

first round vc

company estimated:

time: 5 years net income: $1mn

competitor

valuation: $20mn net income: $2mn

Price / Earning = $20mn / $2mn = 10 times PE multiple.

conclusion

the competitor is worth $20mn now with a $2mn net income, leading us to believe the PE ratio is 10

therefore if the net income is expected to be $1mn in 5 years, then the value of the company should be $10mn

PE * net_income = Value

10 * $1mn = $10mn

what is the company worth today

  • VC expects to make 50% per year
  • (Value of Company in 5 Years) / (1 + Expected Return Per Year) ^ (Number of Years)
  • $10 mn / (1 + 50%) ^ 5 = $1,316,872

what does the vc get?

  • assume vc invests $1mn
  • investment / current value of company
  • $1mn / $1.32mn = 76%

owner has

  • 100 - investors percentage = owners percentage

    • 100 - 76 = 24
    • owner has 24%

what are the total number of shares

  • if the owner has 2 mn shares then
  • total shares = owners shares / owners percentage
  • total shares = 2mn / .24 = 8.3 mn
  • investor has 6.3 mn shares

what is the share price

  • value per share = total investment / number of shares
  • value per share = $1mn / 6.3mn shares
  • value per share = 15.8c per share

pre money valuation

  • what is the owners value in shares

    • this is the value before we get any investment
  • owners share * price per share

    • 2mn shares * 15.8c
    • $316k

post money valuation

  • Post-money valuation = Investment Amount + Pre-money valuation

    • this is the value after the money is given by the vc
  • total number of shares * price per share

    • 8.3mn shares * 15.8c
    • $1.31m

second round

  • in this scenario we need a second round of investments
  • a second VC firm wants 25% for the next 2 years to invest 1mn
  • shares must be taken from the owner, because the first VC is not giving up their shares.

expected return

  • Investment Amount * (1 + percentage / 100) ^ years
  • $1mn * (1.25) ^ 2 = $1.5625mn
  • expected return = $1.5625mn

ownership percentage for second VC

  • Ownership Percentage = Expected Return / Expected Company Value
  • $1.5625mn / $10mn = 15.62%

founder ownership

  • Founder Ownership - Second VC
  • 24 - 15.62 = 8.4%

founders shares

  • Total Shares / Percentage of Company
  • 2mn / 8.4
  • 23.7 mn

employee shares

we also need to set aside shares as employee incentives

those shares will have to come out of the owners share

reasons for giving stock options

  • cheaper than salary
  • motivates to work as a team

conditions

  • vesting

    • you can only sell after X number of years
    • give more options every yeats

B round

  • if tracking better than expected
  • accelerate growth by raising more money at a higher valuation

VC terminology

Terminology Explanation
Unicorn valuation: $1 billion
probability: < 0.07%
Black Holes / Walking Dead break even
probability > 0.07%